Wednesday, September 14, 2005

Mid-week blues

So, I've been feeling a bit down lately, watching too much news, reading too many on-line articles, that sort of thing. And then yesterday I saw a statistic that said, with publishing in the dismal state it's in, a person has a 1 in 70,000 chance of getting published. I then took that to mean surely a person has a 1 in 70,000 chance of being RE-published, and that sent me into a new funk. What's a girl to do? Go to the movies, of course. So I saw The Constant Gardener. Not a good choice for a pick-me-up, you might say? And you would be right. But it was encouraging, because it was a GOOD movie. A very good movie, after a summer of mostly not-so-great flicks (though I did enjoy Batman Begins very much, and The Wedding Crashers. And March of the Penguins). Not exactly an upper, as can be predicted with most Ralph Fiennes movies, aside from the WTF? moment that was Maid in Manhattan. That one was certainly hilarious, though perhaps not in the way it was meant to be. :)

The point is, I'm in need of some good news. Some happy thoughts. Like--Halloween, my #1 favorite holiday of all, is only a month and half away! I've started planning my costume. And I found a great pair of boots that actually fit, and they're just waiting for cooler weather. Just like me.


Cicero_speaks said...

Hey Manda!

I'm a statistics geek (part of the job in emeployee selection) so I have an explanation why the odds of getting REpublished aren't the same as getting pubsished the 1st time.

Here’s the ray of light...once you make it over that hurdle of getting published the first time, the odds of getting republished increase considerably for several reasons.

Those who made it over the hurdle have a greater chance of having actual writing talent than those who didn't get published, they have experience of what goes into getting published (the ins and outs of working with a publisher), etc. That is, the group who will likely try to publish their second book has become more selective than those who are shopping around their 1st book. That's why the odds of "1 in 70,000" wouldn’t necessarily hold for those who have successfully published. While not a certainty, in general, past performance is a good predictor of future performance. It sounds cliched but it's also true :)

Tell us more about about the Halloween costume ideas!


Kay-Kay said...

If you want one point of view on the bizarreness that was "Maid in Manhattan", I would refer to you Tod Goldberg's blog for his take on "The Constant Gardener" and Ralph Fiennes in was last weekend? but worth having a peek at.

Megan Frampton said...

Okay, now I have good news: it's Friday.
And I'm with Cicero_Speaks--I bet it's a lot harder to get published than to get republished. You've already proven you can write, and write well. Why wouldn't someone want to continue with a known, reliable quantity?
I hope you feel better--


Megan Frampton said...

Oh, and where is your pic now? I just see "Powered by Tripod" where you used to be. Not nearly as friendly a sight.

Amanda McCabe said...

I DO feel better today, despite having a non-fun sinus infection! It's Friday, no work tomorrow, and Cicero is definitely right. I think. Never was much good at that math/statistics thing. :) I think I was just listening to too much RWA chatter, which can sometimes be a baaad thing. I also went to the Sanrio website and put myself down for a Hello Kitty bike on my Christmas list, which was immensely comforting!

I have no idea what happened to the pic. I have been having a very hard time downloading any pics here, and don't know why!

And Maid in Manhattan WOULD have been vastly improved by J. Lo falling off the hotel, followed by two hours of pining by Ralph. That's what that movie needed.

Kelli McBride said...

And the whole side story about her little boy and his fascination with Richard Nixon (liar, racist..yeah, great person for the boy to be fascinated by), was too distracting. The only good thing about J-Lo in this film was her clothes. The ball gown she wore was gorgeous.

But when Ralph Fiennes is the warmest, sexiest part of a movie, you know you're in trouble. ;-)